Application of Neural Network Models in Predicting TBM Performance and Managing Excavation Costs: A Case Study of the Mechanized Excavation of the Twin Tunnels of Tabriz Urban Railway Line 1

Authors

Keywords:

metro, mechanized tunnel excavation, failure, artificial neural network, , locomotive, linear regression, Pareto analysis

Abstract

During mechanized tunnel excavation operations, support locomotives refer to a fleet assigned such tasks as transporting foam and grout—the injection slurry used to fill the annular void between the excavated tunnel surface and the rear face of the segmental lining—delivering precast reinforced-concrete segments into the tunnel and to the excavation face, and removing excavated spoil from the tunnel. Accordingly, this fleet plays a key role and has a direct impact on the tunnel excavation phase. This study investigated and predicted the performance of the support locomotive fleet used in the tunnel boring machine operations of Tabriz Urban Railway Line 1. In the first stage, each locomotive was divided into four principal systems: mechanical (engine), electrical, hydraulic, and pneumatic. In the subsequent stages, each of these four systems was further decomposed into smaller-scale subsystems and components. Field studies were then conducted, and failure data from five locomotives were collected using methods endorsed by internationally recognized project management standards, including expert judgment. Following data integration, more than 30,000 failure-related observations were obtained. Pareto analysis, linear regression, and artificial neural networks were examined as statistical and intelligent analytical methods. The findings indicated that the neural network method generated predictions that closely approximated the actual values, with low error and high accuracy.

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How to Cite

Haghkish , . . M. ., Hosseini, S. A., Mohammadi , G. ., & Akbarpour Nikghalb, A. . (2026). Application of Neural Network Models in Predicting TBM Performance and Managing Excavation Costs: A Case Study of the Mechanized Excavation of the Twin Tunnels of Tabriz Urban Railway Line 1. Management Strategies and Engineering Sciences, 8(1), 1-17. https://msesj.com/index.php/mses/article/view/481

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